Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Draft NICE guidance denies RCC drugs

The UK's National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) has issued preliminary recommendations for the treatment of renal cell carcinoma (RCC), concluding that Roche/Genentech's Avastin (bevacizumab), Bayer/Onyx Pharmaceuticals' Nexavar (sorafenib), Pfizer's Sutent (sunitinib) and Wyeth Pharmaceuticals' Torisel (temsirolimus) are not recommended as treatment options for advanced and/or metastatic disease. Although the drugs were shown to be clinically effective and extend life for RCC patients, they were deemed to not be a cost-effective use of NHS resources. NICE is expected to issue final guidance in January 2009.

Following the decision, Cancer Research UK (CRUK) has called for NICE to alter the way that it appraises the value of drugs for rare diseases, such as metastatic RCC, where clinical benefit is proven but evidence is limited due to the small number of available patients. Professor Peter Johnson, CRUK's chief clinician, stated: "We are disappointed at NICE's view that although these drugs are clinically effective, their high price means that they are not considered to be value for money for the NHS. These drugs have shown a small but definite improvement in an illness where there are few alternative treatments. If this decision stands it will be very frustrating for cancer patients and their clinicians."

The charity put forward that possible solutions include looking at the way that pharmaceutical companies are charging the NHS for drugs, and whether appropriate allowances are being made by NICE to compensate for the lack of large-scale trials in these areas. However, it turns out that proposals were submitted by two of the manufacturers relating to drug acquisition costs. But these were not considered by the Department of Health as they had not been agreed before the appraisal.

The preliminary guidance raises questions as to how NICE evaluates cancer drugs, particularly for cancers that only affect a relatively small number of people. The gold-standard method of testing whether a treatment works and is safe is through the use of clinical trials. The larger the number of patients enrolled in a study, and the longer it lasts, the more sure researchers can be about its results. This works for diseases that affect large numbers of people, such as breast and lung cancer, but only around 2,000 people every year are diagnosed with metastatic RCC. Further, only one in ten people diagnosed with this stage of the disease is alive five years later. This means that for relatively rare diseases like this, it can take a long time to conduct large enough studies to gather the evidence needed to gain approval from regulatory agencies.

Even if these studies do demonstrate benefit, as those for the four drugs did, there is still the cost-effectiveness hurdle to overcome. When NICE analysed the data from the trials with its models, it found that the drugs were expensive (around £20,000 to £35,000 per patient per year) compared to the benefit they brought patients. However, concerns have also been raised about these models, which are designed to examine giving drugs to large numbers of people. Are they equally valid for looking at relatively uncommon diseases, such as metastatic RCC? Hopefully NICE will be able to answer these questions when its final guidance is published.

Matthew Dennis - Editor, Cancer Drug News

BMS moves to buy ImClone

Bristol-Myers Squibb has proposed to enter into an agreement to acquire ImClone Systems for US$60.00 per share in cash, or a total payment of approximately US$4.5 billion. BMS currently owns approximately 17 per cent of all outstanding shares of ImClone. BMS' all-cash offer, which is not conditioned on the receipt of financing or on the conduct of due diligence, represents a premium of approximately 30 per cent over ImClone's closing stock price on 30th July, a premium of approximately40 per cent over the average closing price of ImClone's stock during the most recent one-month period and a premium in excess of 40 per cent for the average closing stock prices of ImClone stock during each of the most recent three- and 12-month periods.

James M Cornelius, BMS' Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, stated that the transaction represents an evolutionary development in the companies' seven-year-long relationship. BMS is the natural partner for ImClone as it possesses the knowledge base and resources to advance the company's growth over the long-term, not only with respect toErbitux (cetuximab), which the companies jointly commercialise, but also in terms of developing ImClone's pipeline assets.

ImClone's Board of Directors has formed a committee to study the acquisition offer and to retain advisors to assist it in determining the appropriate course of action. However, the Board's preliminary view is that the offer substantially undervalues the company. ImClone pointed out that its Board has been discussing the possibility of separating the company into its Erbitux and its pipeline businesses in order to maximise the value of the company.

Chairman of ImClone's Board, Carl C Icahn, has stated that he was disturbed that one of the directors on the ImClone Board who is the BMS designee was privy to the information discussed at previous meetings concerning the potential separation of ImClone into two separate components and how this restructuring might enhance stockholder value. Accordingly, the Board is reviewing whether BMS had access to confidential information concerning ImClone and its pipeline. Additionally, Icahn pointed out that ImClone has a pipeline antibody, IMC-11F8, under development which, if ultimately approved for sale, might have a significant competitive effect on Erbitux and that BMS may have no rights to market that product under its agreements with the company.

If BMS gained control of all the Erbitux revenues it would fill a long-term hole caused by the loss of patent protection, starting in 2012 and 2013,surrounding the company's heart disease drug, Plavix (clopidogrel),and antihypertensive, Avapro (irbesartan). Erbitux is indicated for use in the treatment of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer and in the treatment of squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck. Under the agreement between BMS and ImClone, which expires in September2018, ImClone receives a distribution fee based on a flat rate of 39 per cent of Erbitux net sales in North America. This agreement was amended in July 2007 to provide for additional development funding for certain indications.

Merck KGaA is also a partner in the co-development and co-commercialisation of Erbitux in Japan and other markets outside of the US. As such, it could perhaps emerge as the most likely competitor for ImClone. It would make sense for Merck to protect its investment in the drug, since it was the company's own clinical trial that finally persuaded the FDA to approve Erbitux, and a new Merck trial has shown it to be efective in fighting lung cancer as well.

Matthew Dennis - Editor, Cancer Drug News

Review confirms Gardasil's safety; predicted sales hit

Based on the review of available information, the FDA and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) have reaffirmed that Gardasil (quadrivalent human papillomavirus [HPV] types 6, 11, 16, 18 recombinant vaccine) continues to be safe and effective, and its benefits continue to outweigh its risks.

To date, the manufacturer, Merck & Co has distributed over 16 million doses of Gardasil in the US and as of 30th June, there have been 9,749 reports of adverse events following vaccination. Of these, 94 per cent were classified as reports of non-serious events, and 6 per cent as serious events. The non-serious events include syncope, pain at the injection site, headache, nausea and fever.

However, concerns have been raised about reports of deaths occurring in individuals after receiving Gardasil. As of 30th June, 20 deaths had been reported, although there was not a common pattern that would suggest they were caused by the vaccine. According to the review, in cases where autopsy, death certificate and medical records were available, the cause of death was explained by factors other than the vaccine.

Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) has also been reported in individuals following vaccination with Gardasil. The FDA and CDC have reviewed the reports and, to date, there is no evidence that Gardasil has increased the rate of GBS above that expected in the population. Thromboembolic disorders have also been reported in people who have received Gardasil. Most of these individuals had risk factors for blood clots, such as use of oral contraceptives, which are known to increase the risk of clotting. Thromboembolic disorders as well as other medical events are being studied through the Vaccine Safety Datalink Project in previously-planned, controlled studies. Merck has also committed to conduct a large post-marketing study to further assess the vaccine's safety.

The vaccine is one of Merck's flagship products but its sales have been under pressure. The company has recently predicted 2008 Gardasil sales of between US$1.4 billion and US$1.6 billion, down from prior estimates of US$1.9 billion to US$2.1 billion. The lower forecast is due, in part, to Merck's failure earlier in the year to receive US approval to market the vaccine to older women aged 27 to 45 years, as well as to extend its indication to include HPV types not included in the vaccine.

Gardasil is approved in the US for use in girls and women aged nine through 26 years to prevents infection with the types of HPV that cause most cases of cervical cancer and genital warts. The CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended routine three-dose vaccination of girls aged 11 and 12 years. The vaccine is also recommended for girls and women aged 13 through 26 years who have not yet been vaccinated or who have not received all three doses.

Gardasil is marketed by sanofi pasteur MSD (sanofi-aventis’ joint venture [JV] with Merck) in EU countries covered by the JV and several other European countries. In the remaining European countries, located in Central and Eastern Europe, the vaccine is marketed by Merck Sharp & Dohme under the tradename, Silgard.

Matthew Dennis - Editor, Cancer Drug News

Roche looks to buy Genentech

Roche has proposed to acquire the outstanding publicly-held interest in Genentech for US$89.00 per share in cash, or a total payment of approximately US$43.7 billion to equity holders of Genentech other than Roche. Roche acquired a majority stake in Genentech in 1990 and currently owns 55.9 per cent of all outstanding shares.

The offer represents a one-day premium of 8.8 per cent to Genentech's closing price of US$81.82 on 18th July and a one-month premium of 19.0 per cent to Genentech's closing price of US$74.76 on 20th June. However, many analysts predict that the move undervalues the company and Genentech will refuse the initial offer, pricing the company higher at between US$100.00 and US$120.00 per share.

If the deal does go through then it would be the biggest in the sector since Pfizer paid US$57 billion for Pharmacia five years ago. The pharmaceutical sector is witnessing a spate of acquisitions of biotech companies as groups search for new drugs, especially in oncology, to offset the decline in their product pipelines.

Under the proposed acquisition, Genentech will operate as an independent research and early development centre within Roche from its existing campus in South San Francisco, CA, retaining its expertise and approach to discovering and progressing new molecules. The structure of the combined company will allow for a diversity of approaches in research and early development, while also strengthening cross fertilisation between the companies, leading to enhanced overall innovation within the Group. Roche's recently-adopted Disease Biology Area approach, which allows five diverse groups to manage their innovative portfolios, will be maintained and strengthened. This, together with recent moves into RNAi and delivery technologies, as well as licensing activities, continues to provide a stimulating environment for the creation of medically-differentiated medicines.

Roche's Pharma commercial operations in the US will be moved from Nutley to Genentech's site in South San Francisco, CA. The existing US sales organisations of both companies will be maintained, resulting in a very strong presence in several specialty areas. The combined entity will be the seventh largest US pharmaceuticals company in terms of market share. It will generate more than US$15 billion in annual revenues and will employ around 17,500 pharma employees in the US alone, including a combined sales force of approximately 3,000 people. Including diagnostics, the Roche Group will employ around 25,000 people in the US.

With various clinical trial results expected in the next 18 months, analysts expect that Genentech's share price could soar on the back of positive data. Genentech's Avastin (bevacizumab) is in clinical testing as a secondary treatment for colon and breast cancer, and Rituxan (rituximab) is being investigated as a possible lupus treatment. Some experts believe that positive outcomes could bring Genentech an additional US$5 billion in peak sales for Avastin alone. The ultimate goal, however, would be to pair Genentech's therapeutics with Roche’s diagnostics to inform physicians which patients can benefit from specific treatments. The move looks like a smart one for both parties.

Matthew Dennis - Editor, Cancer Drug News